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2024 Rut prediction
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<blockquote data-quote="BSK" data-source="post: 5929261" data-attributes="member: 17"><p>Actual breeding occurs on about the exact same dates for any given location each year. Whenever it peaked on a given property in past years is most likely the dates it will peak this year, acorns or no acorns. The one thing I have seen significantly alter peak breeding dates is a severe summer and fall drought. I suspect the fact the deer are in poor shape after a severe drought which can delay breeding by up to 10 days. I've seen it on my place twice: during the severe drought (and massive EHD outbreak) of 2007, and the severe drought of 2022.</p><p></p><p>Now when peak breeding actually occurs and whether it occurs during daylight when hunters can see it, are two different things. Often, I've seen weather patterns (especially extreme heat for that time of year) hide breeding by shifting it to the nighttime hours.</p><p></p><p>I've worked on several large-scale projects where daylight rutting activity was being tracked by hunters and conception date data was also being collected later in the year (back-dating fetuses). I've seen situations where the hunters would say peak breeding was shifting around year to year by as much as two weeks, while the conception date data indicated breeding was on exactly the same dates each year. Who was right? They both were. Peak breeding DID occur on the same dates each year, but that part of breeding that occurred during daylight - when hunters could see it - DID also shift around due to changes in weather conditions.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="BSK, post: 5929261, member: 17"] Actual breeding occurs on about the exact same dates for any given location each year. Whenever it peaked on a given property in past years is most likely the dates it will peak this year, acorns or no acorns. The one thing I have seen significantly alter peak breeding dates is a severe summer and fall drought. I suspect the fact the deer are in poor shape after a severe drought which can delay breeding by up to 10 days. I've seen it on my place twice: during the severe drought (and massive EHD outbreak) of 2007, and the severe drought of 2022. Now when peak breeding actually occurs and whether it occurs during daylight when hunters can see it, are two different things. Often, I've seen weather patterns (especially extreme heat for that time of year) hide breeding by shifting it to the nighttime hours. I've worked on several large-scale projects where daylight rutting activity was being tracked by hunters and conception date data was also being collected later in the year (back-dating fetuses). I've seen situations where the hunters would say peak breeding was shifting around year to year by as much as two weeks, while the conception date data indicated breeding was on exactly the same dates each year. Who was right? They both were. Peak breeding DID occur on the same dates each year, but that part of breeding that occurred during daylight - when hunters could see it - DID also shift around due to changes in weather conditions. [/QUOTE]
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