Alabama all the way. Michigan played that backyard football last year and had a lot of good breaks . That doesn't work to well against the more disciplined teams. The MI vs Notre dame game comes to mind
Bama should win. And if they get by LSU in November, they will probably win #15. And here's the scary thing (if you're not a Bama fan) - they will probably be even better next year. AJ will be back and the D will have a ton of depth and experience. Saban has done an amazing job.
Alabama I think will beat Michigan but I think that Arkansas will slightly edge bama in Fayetteville. The 2013 tide should scare the entire country cuz their gonna be outstanding. USC being #1 I think just shows the media bias against the SEC