I'll start with the fact that I'm 7 out of 8 on my parlays in the last week. I'm doing it by tilting the odds greatly in my favor on the O/U, Spread and then either a teams total points O/U or something else I can find in my favor. You're not going to get crazy parlay odds like normal but you will get +110 to +150 odds. Not great for parlay but still with odds in your favor it's working. This ain't gambling 101, this is for those that understand the odds a little better and us regular gamblers on here.
Things to remember when using this strategy. The spreads and O/U are set by computers using metrics and whatnot we don't understand. The margins are set really thin and give the house a slight advantage. We're gonna tilt em way into our favor on each segment.
An example for this week:
Titans @ Colts The line is Titans -1.5 with the O/U at 50.
Use the single game parlay feature: Important!
Pick one of the parlay: Use alternate spread to take the Titans +5.5 On a stand alone bet your odds would be -265 which is horrible payoff but a very likely win. But remember we're gonna put this in a parlay.
Pick two of the parlay: Use alternate total to move the O/U to 39.5 and take the over. You are now ten and a half points below the projected O/U so the over seems like a pretty safe bet. If it were a stand alone bet it would be at -385. Once again horrible payoff but likely win.
Pick three of the parlay: Titans total points. I selected 35.5 and took the under. When you make the third and final selection it will show the odds of your overall parlay bet. I will adjust the points until I get overall parlay odds at least +110 and maybe as high as +150 and put my money down on the parlay.
So your overall odds on the parlay may only be +150 or so but your odds on each individual segment are greatly in your favor.
Two important rules I follow using this strategy.
1) ONLY bet on good teams. Good teams are consistent. Good teams are more likely to finish close to what the bookies set on points. Bad teams will be all over the place. Hot one week and cold the next. Can't ever depend on them.
2) Bet teams you KNOW. Know the good teams your betting on. Are they on a hot streak? Few struggles lately?
Also, I favor the pros more than college for the consistency factor. In the pros teams are more evenly matched and will be more consistent and fairly close to what the lines are.
So as I said, I was 7 or 8 last week with this new strategy I tried out. Luck? Some. Will it work with consistency? We'll see. What was the one game I missed? Late Saturday night college game with Hawaii. Broke both rules one and two and it cost me. Not much because I'm not a big dollar gambler. I love the challenge and the entertainment.
Just something to ponder for those of us that enjoy a decent wager.
Things to remember when using this strategy. The spreads and O/U are set by computers using metrics and whatnot we don't understand. The margins are set really thin and give the house a slight advantage. We're gonna tilt em way into our favor on each segment.
An example for this week:
Titans @ Colts The line is Titans -1.5 with the O/U at 50.
Use the single game parlay feature: Important!
Pick one of the parlay: Use alternate spread to take the Titans +5.5 On a stand alone bet your odds would be -265 which is horrible payoff but a very likely win. But remember we're gonna put this in a parlay.
Pick two of the parlay: Use alternate total to move the O/U to 39.5 and take the over. You are now ten and a half points below the projected O/U so the over seems like a pretty safe bet. If it were a stand alone bet it would be at -385. Once again horrible payoff but likely win.
Pick three of the parlay: Titans total points. I selected 35.5 and took the under. When you make the third and final selection it will show the odds of your overall parlay bet. I will adjust the points until I get overall parlay odds at least +110 and maybe as high as +150 and put my money down on the parlay.
So your overall odds on the parlay may only be +150 or so but your odds on each individual segment are greatly in your favor.
Two important rules I follow using this strategy.
1) ONLY bet on good teams. Good teams are consistent. Good teams are more likely to finish close to what the bookies set on points. Bad teams will be all over the place. Hot one week and cold the next. Can't ever depend on them.
2) Bet teams you KNOW. Know the good teams your betting on. Are they on a hot streak? Few struggles lately?
Also, I favor the pros more than college for the consistency factor. In the pros teams are more evenly matched and will be more consistent and fairly close to what the lines are.
So as I said, I was 7 or 8 last week with this new strategy I tried out. Luck? Some. Will it work with consistency? We'll see. What was the one game I missed? Late Saturday night college game with Hawaii. Broke both rules one and two and it cost me. Not much because I'm not a big dollar gambler. I love the challenge and the entertainment.
Just something to ponder for those of us that enjoy a decent wager.
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