Nov 6 bets

BamaProud

BamaProud

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I took 2 Odds Boost bets
Both Penn State and Wake Forest to win at +210-----L
Oh St. to lead by 14 or more at the half +250----------L

4 leg parlay: +1252----------------------------------L
Liberty @ Ole Miss Over 66.5
Auburn @ Texas A&M -4.5
Tennessee @ Kentucky -0.5
LSU @ Bama -29.5

Straight bets
Liberty @ Ole Miss Over 66.5 -110-------------------L
LSU @ Bama -17.5 first half spread -115
Auburn @ Texas A&M -4.5--------------------------W
 
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I sleep through the morning games with a migraine. All games straight bet and parlayed.
 

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When I see an alabama fan consistently bet on alabama, and against Auburn and Tennessee, my first thought is he is betting with his heart and not his head. I never bet on a Tennessee game (unless it's a friendly $20 bet with a friend). I looked back at your bets you've posted since the beginning of season and couldn't find one time you bet against alabama or on Tennessee or Auburn. Yet you bet on alabama and against Tennessee and Auburn multiple times. Coincidence? Maybe, but it's easy to be influenced by your likes/dislikes. I made a bet on Auburn yesterday when it was 3-3 that cost me having a winning day. Looking back I did it because they were moving the ball, but I was influenced by wanting them to win really bad.
 
Betting on Alabama to win consistently and Tennessee to lose consistently would have been a very solid betting strategy over the last 13 years or so (even though I have only been betting for about 3). Quick calculation I think Alabama is 173-24 and Tennessee in 83 and 90. That would be a record of 263-107. Over just the last 5 years it would have been a winning strategy that paid over 66%.

As for Auburn, I want them to win every game until the Iron bowl because nothing is more exciting than an undefeated IB. However, after their first season loss I couldn't care less if they lose another.
 
BamaProud said:
Betting on Alabama to win consistently and Tennessee to lose consistently would have been a very solid betting strategy over the last 13 years or so (even though I have only been betting for about 3). Quick calculation I think Alabama is 173-24 and Tennessee in 83 and 90. That would be a record of 263-107. Over just the last 5 years it would have been a winning strategy that paid over 66%.
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Is that 66% winning strategy over the last 5 years against the spread or betting the moneyline then factoring in the payment odds?
 
Spurhunter said:
Is that 66% winning strategy over the last 5 years against the spread or betting the moneyline then factoring in the payment odds?
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I am just talking about wins losses, I don't have the time to look up all the individual bets, but anything over about a 55% straight W/L record on a season is usually enough to make money from what I have seen.

Right now the "Experts" at CBS Sports this season are 60-68% on the year Straight up.
 
BamaProud said:
I am just talking about wins losses, I don't have the time to look up all the individual bets, but anything over about a 55% straight W/L record on a season is usually enough to make money from what I have seen.

Right now the "Experts" at CBS Sports this season are 60-68% on the year Straight up.
Click to expand...
Come on. You've bet enough to know how it works. According to your numbers, if you had a buddy stupid enough to bet you every week that Alabama loses and Tennessee wins, your 66% would mean something. But nobody is that stupid. When you factor in points spreads the numbers are probably way different. But since you like to pick winners and losers, you would bet the moneyline. Alabama being favored in almost 100% of their games means the moneyline would be negative. Most weeks way negative. So a $100 bet on Alabama might pay $40. Or $30. Or whatever the number is. But you know all that. You are just trying to defend your absurd statement that it's wise gambling to bet on Alabama and against Tennessee every week.
 
I don't bet to make money, I expect to lose money in the long run because that is just how it works for 99% of people who have ever made more than a few bets. I just bet to make more aspects of games I want to watch more interesting.

For instance I really don't care who wins tonight's game Pittsburg against North Carolina, but I expect lost of points. I took the Over 71.5.
 
That we can agree on. For the most part the only people that make money betting on sports are the bookies. With all the free bets, deposit matches, etc. I'm down $66 of my money for the season. If it weren't for all the promos I'd be way in the hole. I believe it's a way better bet to go to Tunica and play red or black on the roulette table. But dang that's boring.
 
I'm not sure where I am for the year but I started with $150(I think) the first day it became legal in TN, I cashed out $600 in September of this year and currently have a balance around $250. Yea, a lot of those winnings were re-bets(and turned into cash) based on promos and the "feel the love" bets from last year. I've also been more successful this year on the Monday through Friday "College boosts" on Fanduel than the regular Saturday bets. Hopefully the Over pays tonight. The line dropped 1 point before kickoff so I doubled my bet,
 
I'm curious, but do the online gambling companies send 1099s at the end of the year? I would imagine that they do, like the regular casinos, but wasn't certain. Of course, you would have to supply social security number, etc.
 

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