Food for thought. Warmest March
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Warmest March in 125+ years
- Thread starter Andy S.
- Start date
Howa
Well-Known Member
Interesting, 125 years huh? That would be one old turkey researcher if he'd seen this before......just saying'. Lol
OMG LET IT GO.
They do make books for people to read that way you can write stuff down for people to read when you are dead, you know sorta like the bible as an example.
They do make books for people to read that way you can write stuff down for people to read when you are dead, you know sorta like the bible as an example.
I agree 100%. The weather/temps we have had in SW TN over the last two months (and much of the south) would be an anomaly in just about ANY data set ever recorded that had a weather/temperature influence of any kind. You just never know what Nature will throw at you; the historic flood of 2011 is along these same lines.
Setterman
Well-Known Member
Good, means a longer growing season which means healthier critters. Only positives can come from this weather pattern
Agree. I am hoping for a great hatch this year, a bunch of surviving poults this year and a bumper crop of gobbling 2 year olds in 2014. :grin:Setterman said:
No doubt Andy!
BamaProud
Well-Known Member
A Very Warm March and Beginning of 2012...Updated 3/26
If you think this month or year has been warm, you're correct. So far for this month and for the year of 2012, all Mid South climate sites rank in the top 2 warmest. This is all thanks to arctic air remaining bottled up over the arctic and Siberia through the winter, with very few intrusions this far south. Couple that with an incredible ridge that has parked over the eastern two-thirds of the country during much of this month, and we have very impressive departures from normal. March 2012 is likely to go gown as the warmest on record at Memphis, Jackson, and Tupelo.
The following tables show the rank, average temperature (�F), year of occurrence, and its departure from the 1981-2010 set of normals.
If you think this month or year has been warm, you're correct. So far for this month and for the year of 2012, all Mid South climate sites rank in the top 2 warmest. This is all thanks to arctic air remaining bottled up over the arctic and Siberia through the winter, with very few intrusions this far south. Couple that with an incredible ridge that has parked over the eastern two-thirds of the country during much of this month, and we have very impressive departures from normal. March 2012 is likely to go gown as the warmest on record at Memphis, Jackson, and Tupelo.
The following tables show the rank, average temperature (�F), year of occurrence, and its departure from the 1981-2010 set of normals.
BamaProud
Well-Known Member
(more data and related information from NWS Birmingham)
Does a Warm March Mean a Hot Summer?
...MARCH WARMTH, AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR THE REST OF THE SUMMER...
AN EARLY SPRING SEASON STRONG WESTWARD EXTENSION OF THE BERMUDA HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE, COMBINED WITH LOW PRESSURE WHICH DEVELOPED OVER THE
DISTANT SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES, SET UP AN ATMOSPHERE OF
PREVAILING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER THE HEART OF DIXIE BY THE
MID-MONTH OF MARCH 2012. SEVERAL SUBSEQUENT RECORD BREAKING OR NEAR
RECORD BREAKING (MATCH TO PREVIOUS OCCURRENCE) TEMPERATURES WERE
REACHED AT BIRMINGHAM AND MONTGOMERY BY MID-MARCH 2012.
IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE EARLY SEASON HIGH PRESSURE WESTWARD EXTENSION
WAS THE OCCURRENCE OF A CUT-OFF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE FOUR CORNERS.
HAD THIS CUT-OFF LOW NOT OCCURRED, THERE LIKELY WOULD NOT HAVE BEEN
ANY REMARKABLE RECORDS SET. HOWEVER, THE POLAR JET STREAM STEERING
HAD REALIGNED ACROSS THE NORTHERN STATES LEAVING THE LOW PRESSURE
STAGNANT FOR DAYS OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST, AND PERSISTENT
SOUTHERLY FLOW PREVAILED WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI.
THE RECORDS SHOW TEMPERATURES AT BOTH BIRMINGHAM AND MONTGOMERY HAVE
REACHED 89 AND 90 DEGREES DURING THE MONTH OF MARCH ON NUMEROUS
OCCASIONS IN THE PAST. THIS WAS NOT THE CASE THIS YEAR. THESE ARE
THE NEWEST RECORDS REACHED (SO FAR) DURING THE MONTH OF MARCH 2012.
THROUGH MARCH 24 OF THIS YEAR, THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AT BIRMINGHAM
AND MONTGOMERY WERE 64.8 AND 66.0 DEGREES, RESPECTIVELY. THIS IS THE
SECOND WARMEST SUCH START TO THE MONTH OF MARCH AT BIRMINGHAM, AND
THIRD WARMEST AT MONTGOMERY, BASED ON RECORDS AT BOTH CITIES THAT GO
BACK AT LEAST 110 YEARS. DOES THE WARM LATE WINTER AND EARLY SPRING
PORTEND A SUMMER OF SIMILAR RECORD-SETTING WARMTH? JUDGING FROM PAST
WEATHER RECORDS AT BIRMINGHAM AND MONTGOMERY, NOT NECESSARILY SO.
HERE ARE THE 10 YEARS WITH THE WARMEST MARCHES AT BOTH BIRMINGHAM AND
MONTGOMERY, WITH A COMPARISON OF TEMPERATURES IN JUNE, JULY, AND
AUGUST OF THOSE SAME YEARS:
IN BIRMINGHAM, 7 OF THE 10 YEARS WITH THE WARMEST MARCHES WERE
FOLLOWED BY A SUMMER (JUNE, JULY AND AUGUST) WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR
OR BELOW NORMAL. ONLY 2 OF THE 10 YEARS HAD SUBSEQUENT SUMMERS THAT
RANKED IN THE TOP 20 WARMEST (2007 RANKED 4TH, AND 1921 RANKED 11TH).
IN MONTGOMERY, 7 OF THE 10 YEARS WITH THE WARMEST MARCHES WERE
FOLLOWED BY A SUMMER (JUNE, JULY AND AUGUST) WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR
OR BELOW NORMAL. NONE OF THE 10 YEARS HAD SUBSEQUENT SUMMERS THAT
RANKED IN THE TOP 20 WARMEST -- IN FACT, THREE OF THE YEARS (1910,
1946, AND 1997) WERE RANKED AMONG THE "COOLEST" SUMMERS.
THUS, THE ONLY CONCLUSION ONE CAN MAKE IS THAT HAVING WARM
TEMPERATURES IN THE MONTH OF MARCH HAS NO PREDICTIVE VALUE FOR HOW
HOT THE FOLLOWING SUMMER WILL BE.
Does a Warm March Mean a Hot Summer?
...MARCH WARMTH, AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR THE REST OF THE SUMMER...
AN EARLY SPRING SEASON STRONG WESTWARD EXTENSION OF THE BERMUDA HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE, COMBINED WITH LOW PRESSURE WHICH DEVELOPED OVER THE
DISTANT SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES, SET UP AN ATMOSPHERE OF
PREVAILING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER THE HEART OF DIXIE BY THE
MID-MONTH OF MARCH 2012. SEVERAL SUBSEQUENT RECORD BREAKING OR NEAR
RECORD BREAKING (MATCH TO PREVIOUS OCCURRENCE) TEMPERATURES WERE
REACHED AT BIRMINGHAM AND MONTGOMERY BY MID-MARCH 2012.
IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE EARLY SEASON HIGH PRESSURE WESTWARD EXTENSION
WAS THE OCCURRENCE OF A CUT-OFF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE FOUR CORNERS.
HAD THIS CUT-OFF LOW NOT OCCURRED, THERE LIKELY WOULD NOT HAVE BEEN
ANY REMARKABLE RECORDS SET. HOWEVER, THE POLAR JET STREAM STEERING
HAD REALIGNED ACROSS THE NORTHERN STATES LEAVING THE LOW PRESSURE
STAGNANT FOR DAYS OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST, AND PERSISTENT
SOUTHERLY FLOW PREVAILED WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI.
THE RECORDS SHOW TEMPERATURES AT BOTH BIRMINGHAM AND MONTGOMERY HAVE
REACHED 89 AND 90 DEGREES DURING THE MONTH OF MARCH ON NUMEROUS
OCCASIONS IN THE PAST. THIS WAS NOT THE CASE THIS YEAR. THESE ARE
THE NEWEST RECORDS REACHED (SO FAR) DURING THE MONTH OF MARCH 2012.
THROUGH MARCH 24 OF THIS YEAR, THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AT BIRMINGHAM
AND MONTGOMERY WERE 64.8 AND 66.0 DEGREES, RESPECTIVELY. THIS IS THE
SECOND WARMEST SUCH START TO THE MONTH OF MARCH AT BIRMINGHAM, AND
THIRD WARMEST AT MONTGOMERY, BASED ON RECORDS AT BOTH CITIES THAT GO
BACK AT LEAST 110 YEARS. DOES THE WARM LATE WINTER AND EARLY SPRING
PORTEND A SUMMER OF SIMILAR RECORD-SETTING WARMTH? JUDGING FROM PAST
WEATHER RECORDS AT BIRMINGHAM AND MONTGOMERY, NOT NECESSARILY SO.
HERE ARE THE 10 YEARS WITH THE WARMEST MARCHES AT BOTH BIRMINGHAM AND
MONTGOMERY, WITH A COMPARISON OF TEMPERATURES IN JUNE, JULY, AND
AUGUST OF THOSE SAME YEARS:
IN BIRMINGHAM, 7 OF THE 10 YEARS WITH THE WARMEST MARCHES WERE
FOLLOWED BY A SUMMER (JUNE, JULY AND AUGUST) WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR
OR BELOW NORMAL. ONLY 2 OF THE 10 YEARS HAD SUBSEQUENT SUMMERS THAT
RANKED IN THE TOP 20 WARMEST (2007 RANKED 4TH, AND 1921 RANKED 11TH).
IN MONTGOMERY, 7 OF THE 10 YEARS WITH THE WARMEST MARCHES WERE
FOLLOWED BY A SUMMER (JUNE, JULY AND AUGUST) WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR
OR BELOW NORMAL. NONE OF THE 10 YEARS HAD SUBSEQUENT SUMMERS THAT
RANKED IN THE TOP 20 WARMEST -- IN FACT, THREE OF THE YEARS (1910,
1946, AND 1997) WERE RANKED AMONG THE "COOLEST" SUMMERS.
THUS, THE ONLY CONCLUSION ONE CAN MAKE IS THAT HAVING WARM
TEMPERATURES IN THE MONTH OF MARCH HAS NO PREDICTIVE VALUE FOR HOW
HOT THE FOLLOWING SUMMER WILL BE.
BamaProud
Well-Known Member
(From NWS Jackson, MS)
Does a Warm March Mean a Hot Summer?
Much of this month has been quite warm. Actually, the average temperature for the month (through 3/27) has been 65.5�F. This ranks as the 5th warmest on record so far. Five days remain in the month, and if the current forecast values occur, March would end with an average temperature of 66.2�F - 3rd warmest on record. Below is a list of the top 5 warmest months for March:
So one may ask, does a warm March mean a hot summer? The simple answer is not really. We looked at the 10 warmest March months on record and then matched those years with the corresponding summer season (June, July, August). Of those 10 years, 6 summer seasons were right around normal for average temperature. Three of those 10 years had a warmer than average summer with one summer below average. So while we cannot make a definite forecast of how hot the summer will be, history supports a summer with near normal temperatures.
Does a Warm March Mean a Hot Summer?
Much of this month has been quite warm. Actually, the average temperature for the month (through 3/27) has been 65.5�F. This ranks as the 5th warmest on record so far. Five days remain in the month, and if the current forecast values occur, March would end with an average temperature of 66.2�F - 3rd warmest on record. Below is a list of the top 5 warmest months for March:
So one may ask, does a warm March mean a hot summer? The simple answer is not really. We looked at the 10 warmest March months on record and then matched those years with the corresponding summer season (June, July, August). Of those 10 years, 6 summer seasons were right around normal for average temperature. Three of those 10 years had a warmer than average summer with one summer below average. So while we cannot make a definite forecast of how hot the summer will be, history supports a summer with near normal temperatures.
Thanks for posting this data BP.
BamaProud
Well-Known Member
No problem....I'd be quite content to keep these kind of temperatures around through the entire Summer!
