Twenty + years ago when we had kill tags and mandatory physical check stations and it required a certain skill level to kill a gobbler, I had some faith that kill figures gave a pretty good indication of the actual turkey population. One year of being up or down didn't show much, but, you could get a pretty good grasp of the population trends over a few year period.
With the advances in the turkey decoys, reaping bs, LONG range ammo, etc, I have zero confidence that kill figures now indicate what is on the ground. It now takes very little skill to shoot a limit (or more) of gobblers if that is what you want to do. I think it is just as likely that we are killing a bunch of birds as our turkey population goes down the toilet. When hunters across the state are reporting that their local populations are a half or third of what they were just a few years ago, I put a little more stock in their observations than kill figures that were obviously questionable all year in the reporting system.
So, yes, I am still VERY concerned.