scn":1ocps22p said:
In Stewart Co, I have about a third of the birds that were on the property four years ago.
Knowing where you do the majority of your Stewart Co turkey hunting,
and with my spending more year-round time there,
much of it in the same areas you're doing your turkey hunting,
I'm going to have respectfully disagree that our turkey population is down by 2/3 compared to 4 years ago.
I do agree our turkey population is down, particularly the 3-yr-old & older Tom's.
However, there seem to be some very localized pockets in Stewart Co. where the population may not be down at all from either 4 years ago or a decade ago.
It's just ironic that some areas have better turkey habitat today than a couple decades ago, yet have fewer turkeys.
I've spoken with several other turkey hunters who were also hunting many the same areas (as SCN)
and to the person, 100% believe the turkey population is significantly down.
But, is it really down by over 50%,
or is that just our false perception based on some seasonal (and mostly early season) turkey hunting?
Here's my thoughts on the turkeys in the Stewart Co areas we both hunt (plus a few more):
1) For whatever reasons, the Toms were less vocal this spring that most years.
My theories include mainly two reasons: Fewer 2-yr-old (and older) Toms,
and the "evolution" of 2-yr-old (& older) Toms to both gobble less and strut less.
As to that "evolution" it has mainly to do with predation, those predators include human hunters.
The more vocal birds tend to get killed at a higher rate,
and surviving birds appear to be modifying their behavior in realizing this.
This "evolution" also seems to include an adaptation of turkeys spending more time in heavier cover rather than the more open areas we have traditionally focused our spring turkey hunting.
When I speak of turkey's "evolving" behavior, I'm speaking in terms of (both human & non-human) predators' behaviors also evolving. This may be as much a "which came first, the chicken or the egg" deal as either's evolution being in reaction to the others'.
Examples of predation evolution include (modern) hunters (at least here in TN over the past couple decades) "evolving" to the use of much longer-range weapons, along with tactics requiring much less human hunting skills, to effectively kill more turkeys. At the same time, we're seeing bobcats & coyotes doing more daytime hunting specifically for turkeys (which have been in the past less targeted by these mostly nocturnal predators). Then there is a variety of raptors that appear to have become more focused on specifically hunting turkeys. This includes owls doing more daytime hunting, and even bald eagles evolving to more specifically target adult turkeys.
P.S. An old strutting Tom in the middle of a 2-acre food plot can be an easy meal to a bald eagle.
2) Wintering flocks were a week or two later than most years in dispersing.
This greatly effected the 1st week or two of our spring turkey season.
It was either "feast" or "famine" depending on where you could hunt,
and/or were willing to hunt.
There were in fact some very large areas (hundreds of acres in a block) appearing to be totally void of any adult male birds).
That did change as those wintering flocks broke up and spread more uniformly around the landscape.
3) "Our" Stewart Co. turkey population is overall down, again, just my opinion,
about 25%, from say 4 years ago, but maybe much more compared to a couple decades ago.
4) "Our" Stewart Co. adult male bird population may in fact be down over 50%, from just 4 years ago.
But I really doubt if it's much more than 1/3.
Key takeaway it is down more than the hen population.
5) I simply think we're killing a higher percentage of the adult male birds each year,
mainly by the season beginning too early, and the bag limit of 4 being too many.
This is causing much harm, trending very wrongly, to the primary hunting "resource" of adult male birds,
particularly to those 3-yr-old or older ones.
By contrast, non-human predators are less discriminatory,
perhaps focusing more on hens and poults than adult males.
Then again, that portion of the population does not appear to be as "reduced" as the "longbeard" portion,
most of which may be getting killed by human hunters within the season's 1st 10 days, before breeding is half-finished.