Headhunter":l0829usj said:
It is bad and will only get worse. A few of my friends have fished KY lake for many, many years. The baitfish are almost gone, they are saying they have not seen a school of baitfish in a couple years and they fish year round. I wish someone could post a pic or a video of schools of baitfish there. One of my friends who is a great crappie fisherman and has caught thousands of crappie out of KY lake, has not caught one keeping crappie there this year. I have heard the guides out of Birdsong can't find any crappie. One of the main problems with the carp is they eat what the baitfish eat, to the point the baitfish have nothing to eat and they die out. Google asian carp problems and it is for sure not good.
the crappie have bad spawn years and good spawn years. we are kind of in between this year. the problem with crappie, if it really is a problem, is species distribution. like i said above, for the last 15 years the black crappie have outnumbered the whites by 70% or so. the whites have made somewhat of a comeback in the last few years.
the problem is crappie fisherman are not making the change in tactics to catch more of the blacks. wait a minute, arent they the same? nope. i see it every year on Birdsong. the same guys spider rigging or single pole jigging over the channel break on brush piles or over the flats chasing white crappie. there chances of catching black crappie are nill to none. the way i compare whites to blacks is that whites are more like largemouths and blacks are more like smallmouths. if you have bass fished for either then you will know the comparison. ive had some tell me that the blacks are more on the south side but ive caught them in numbers all the way up to big sandy. bass bay and danville is another hot spot. the KY biologists are the ones that found more blacks on the KY side. garry mason and steve shelton catches them in good numbers on big and west sandy prong.
you are right about the shad at least for the last 2 years that ive noticed, but cold winters and ice will kill them in great numbers. according to tim broadbent, the trap net surveys last fall showed average numbers of shad. my guess is a hard winter kill. the beauty of black crappie is they dont depend on shad as they eat more bugs and larvae. white crappie will do the same if low shad is available. have you ever cut open a white crappies crawl in the winter and its full of black stuff? bugs.
paul rister and ryan oster said something years ago in their study that made me think, they basically said until crappie fishermen change their mindset and tactics they will continue to have a hard time.