I just wanted to put out some information on this particular topic because I was one of the technicians to work specifically on this project. I was on this project for the spring/summer of its 3rd year and covered both Maury and Giles. By no means an expert, I did want to offer my thoughts.
This project encompasses 5 counties and is pretty broad in scope. The whole project started because of the notice and concern in the declining turkey population. So, they do realize that the numbers are declining. Of course, wildlife populations do have a normal rise and fall (boom and bust).
In order to keep a long story short and not write a small book, there are of course many factors that can influence a population. Sure, predators play a role and reducing them can help. Yes, weather can affect turkeys and their behavior (not much we can do about weather.) Of course, diseases can be an issue (we took a blood sample from the turkeys captured as well). However, anecdotally one of the main influencing factors appeared to be habitat. I worked on a particular area in Maury County that was very suitable habitat for both nesting and poults. I personally saw a lot of success around there. It's hard to convince people that habitat is disappearing when they say nothing has changed around his/her place in years. Turkeys move and use up quite a bit of space. Maybe your place hasn't changed but someone else's not too far has. And it's beyond difficult to convince a cattle owner or farmer to convert their land to turkey habitat. It seems there is no real monetary profit in just having wildlife unless you have enough land to lease and perhaps turn a profit that way. They are trying to convince many to turn to native grasses that can be both good for wildlife and cattle. But, there is still that period to let the grasses become established well before grazing can take place. Understandably, nobody really cares for losing money for any period of time (especially right now with everything costing more).
I am looking forward to seeing all the results from the study as well. I encourage people to read about the life cycles of turkey and habitat requirements. Dr. Keiser from UT has done a lot of studies with native grasses and their benefits for both wildlife and cattle. Dr. Chamberlain from UGA has a fountain of turkey knowledge and can offer tons of insight as well. In the end, changes and action must occur and getting people to understand and become involved will always be the hardest obstacle.