WTNBowHunter
Well-Known Member
Can't hardly wait!
Nope! Second week of November.Long-long-range weather models suggest the first freeze will be right at Halloween, give or take two days.
Yeah, the models are really swinging towards this next week being cold. I wouldn't be shocked if some areas get their first sub 32-degree readings next week.They've dropped the lows for our area at the first of next week to 32 as of this morning.
I hunt just few miles from you. You must be hunting off 129, between Belfast and Lynchburg.Lincoln/Marshall/Bedford line, where they join. I just work in Moore.
I haven't charted it. But in my head this is about how I would draw mine up as well.It's about that time. Right now is when I see bucks really beginning to shift. There are always a few early and a few late but right now is when I begin to notice it most.
Since I live 7hrs away from my Ohio property I wanted to find a way to help me plan my hunts with actual intel, so I tore a page from @BSK book and made a graph. Since I'm only after 5.5yr+ wall hangers that's all I charted. The graph shows only October & November and each data point accounts for one day when there was at least one buck fitting that criteria using the property during shooting light. It doesn't account for how many cameras or how many times a buck was on camera or how many bucks. It's just if any big buck was on the property during daylight. No night pics recorded. I wanted to see a pattern that I could plan for, a span of time when I could plan a hunt. Sure enough that pattern showed up. Looks like if I had only a week to hunt it would be Oct 27 thru Nov 3.
It's very limited, narrowly focused data so not terribly easy to decipher "why" some days seem awesome and others are completely empty. Best I can figure is it has something to do with the estrus cycles of the resident does. Tomorrow is a significant spike surrounded by nothing so I assume that's an early estrus doe. Being only 100 acres it's significant to me that in a 5yr span a huge old buck was roaming the property in daylight to the day 3 of those years, but none the week before or several days after. Then again Nov 15 thru Nov 19 is empty. Could that be lockdown?
When I get time I'll do the same with my TN place.
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Long, long-range models have shifted away from the first freeze right around Halloween to first HARD freeze opening weekend of MZ season.
Man that was brutal. Wind was howling, we had a dusting of snow on the ground, and air temp was about 18.2019 it was in the teens during muzzleloader.
November 9th second week day of November.Long, long-range models have shifted away from the first freeze right around Halloween to first HARD freeze opening weekend of MZ season.