scn":3nilmr52 said:
IMO, harvest numbers ARE NOT a great indicator of the condition of the statewide population. As an example, when the population was at its peak, a good turkey hunter (not me) may have had 25 gobblers on a farm to hunt, and it may have taken him/her a half dozen hunts to kill a limit of four. Fast forward to the present, and that turkey hunter may only have 10 gobblers on that same farm to hunt, and it may take them the whole season to take their four. But, guess what, the harvest figures at the end are going to reflect the very same numbers for that hunter no matter the total decline.
When I am receiving professional observations from across the state from wildlife officers that say we are in a rapid, downhill slide, I temper what the harvest numbers may or may not be showing. Add to it turkey hunters that live for the spring season that are now saying my flock is a third of what it used to be and I get concerned. I am convinced that the blinds, decoys, fanning, etc. are also masking the decline and keeping the numbers higher than they would have been without those tactics to rely on. Right or wrong, they are allowing hunters to kill multiple birds that very likely would not have been killing any years ago. Comparing harvest figures in the times before and after the addition of these modern tactics sort of make it like comparing apples to oranges.
Bean counting has a place in decision making. But, so does professional observations from people that are out there every day. IMO, agency decision makers are relying way too much on some harvest figures that very likely ARE NOT a valid comparison of the present and our flock at its peak. Hopefully the Commission will add some common sense to the equation and try to do something to slow down the decline.
Great post, but there is a couple issues with it. If harvest data, isn't the best indicator, what is?
It doesn't matter what is, because we probably don't have it. Bean counting will be used in every decision, you acknowledge that in your post, but if the only beans they have to count are harvest numbers, then that is what they will go off of. Unless they see a dramatic drop in harvest #'s they will believe the population is just fine.
If so many of you believe the "professional observations" AKA avid turkey hunters, maybe some biological surveys???, then I say do what the deer hunters have done and start the petition to lower the limit and it may get done. My observation this year is I have seen just as many birds as I have in years past. However on my brothers property in Wilson County, the birds are in the area, but not using his property as much. Therefore gobbling, and kills are down this year there, but we can see the birds over in fields across property lines, just can't hunt over there.... Got a place I don't turkey hunt. saw 20+ Toms in the field there in Dec. I hear turkeys on roost 95% of the time while i am deer hunting there. Guess what county.... Giles. "But Giles county is suffering a mass turkey decline..." Just ask the folks that hunt on here.
All this made me ponder a few questions. Many on this thread have been saying, "I've noticed a decline for the last few years and have been saying the limit should be 3 or less for years now."
How many of you avid turkey hunters have shot 4 birds a year on your places for the last 4-5 years? If you did shoot 4 and you saw a decline, why didn't you go somewhere else for some of your birds, or just not fill the 4th tag? How many posts on this site have we seen this year or in past years, where members post and say "Bird # (number over 4) in TN that I have been part of" ? If you kill 4, call in 3 for your son, 3 for your buddy, and 2 for your dad, odds are you just wiped out a lot of your birds. How many of those that post those types of posts or are known for being good turkey hunters on here, have disdain for strut decoys, fanning, blinds, etc.?
It almost seems that as it has become easier for less skilled hunters to be successful, the more skilled, are complaining about the lack of game. Could it be that we (and the TWRA) are facing the dilemma of needing to recruit new hunters to the sport, but in doing so we are seeing the effects of doing so (more kills = less population)?
I can probably answer most of these questions, as can most of you. I think we probably need to reduce it to 3, and limit the fall harvest, but if it doesn't happen, it will require that you guys that talk about this the most to limit yourself. JMO